Monday, December 07, 2009

December 7, 2009

Re: Michigan Drops Football.


The decisions by Hofstra and Northeastern Universities to drop football had ramifications in the Midwest yesterday. Thus, the shocking headline on the front page of today’s New York Times, in two inch high black letters across the entire six columns of the front page, was “MICHIGAN DROPS FOOTBALL.” This was only the seventh page-wide headline in the New York Times in the last 68 years. The others were “JAPANESE BOMB PEARL HARBOR,” “GERMANY SURRENDERS,” “JAPAN SURRENDERS,” “KENNEDY ASSASSINATED,” “NIXON RESIGNS,” and “GEORGE W. BUSH READS BOOK.”

The subheadline to the two inch high, six column headline of “MICHIGAN DROPS FOOTBALL” was done in one inch high type. It said “But Nobody Knows Because It Continues To Play.”

Then came the lead paragraph, which read as follows:

“In a shocking development that stunned the entire sports world today, the President of the University of Michigan, Mary Sue Coleman, announced at a press conference that the school had dropped football. Nobody will know this, however,” she said, “because we shall continue to play. We are continuing to play so that we can continue to lose to Ohio State every year. It wouldn’t feel normal in Ann Arbor in the last ten days of November if we hadn’t just lost to Ohio State.”

The President then explained the history of Michigan’s decision to drop football, in answer to a reporter’s question of whether Michigan’s dropping football was in any way caused by the fact that its players kept dropping the football -- including dropping it out of the quarterback’s hand in the end zone against Ohio State. The President’s explanation was clear and to the point; she did not fumble around. “No,” she said, “The fact that our players continually dropped the football did not bear on why we dropped football. Rather, we began thinking about it in 1940 just after Robert Maynard Hutchins announced that the University of Chicago was dropping football. We began thinking that, if a school with a storied football history like Chicago could drop football, why couldn’t we? After all, our storied football history was similar to Chicago’s, which beat one of our point a minute teams 2 to nothing in 1905. Chicago had Stagg, we had Yost. Chicago had Jay Berwanger, who won the first Heisman Trophy and whose pose is captured in the Trophy itself, and we had Desmond Howard, whose pose was captured in the end zone by TV cameras. Chicago gave up football for Economics, while we could give it up for Ed. School or the Marching Band. Chicago’s field was turned into the site of a nuclear chain reaction, while ours can be turned into a forest, as we do at commencement when Birnam Wood is brought to the Big House. So everything was or could be the same. So we decided to do it.”

At the press conference the President pointed out that for decades Michigan had not improved, as indicated by the story about the aged alumnus of 1948. It is said that, after Michigan’s Rose Bowl victory over Southern California on January 1, 1948, its Coach, then Fritz Crisler (not the violinist, who spelled it Kreisler), found the alumnus crying in a hotel in Pasadena. Crisler asked what was wrong, and the alumnus is said to have replied, “I went to the first Rose Bowl game ever played, on January 1, 1902, when Michigan beat Stanford 49 to nothing. Today, it defeated Southern Cal 49 to nothing. Forty-six years and there has been no improvement.”

At her press conference, President Coleman went on to say that, after about a dozen horrible years in the 1950s and 1960s, “Michigan was coming close to dropping football until its plans to do so were sabotaged, were derailed, by the unfortunate decades-long victories of Glenn Schembechler. But now that that is past us,” she continued, “we have been freed-up to implement the decision to drop football while, unlike the University of Chicago, disguising what we have done by continuing to play. And, as I said,” she added, “to keep up this pretense, each year in late November we shall lie down on the tressel to be run over by Ohio State. For we at Michigan have great respect for tradition.”

Meanwhile, Michigan’s fans are in a stupefied state of shock that has caused nine out of every ten of them to walk around with their months agape -- that’s 2,502,330 people walking around with their mouths hanging open. (As Dave Barry says, I’m not making this up.) The head of the Michigan Alumni Association, the inaptly named Samuel Winner, has announced that something must be done. He said he had tried to arrange a straight-up trade with Notre Dame of Rich Rodriguez for Charley Weis, but Notre Dame had refused because it was not getting sufficient value. Winner now is spearheading an alumni drive to offer the University of West Virginia 65 million dollars and the entire city of Cincinnati if it will take back Rich Rodriguez. Winner said, “We are not proud; we are open to negotiation. We are willing to also throw in John Beilin, Michigan’s basketball coach, who came from West Virginia, the President of the University of Michigan, plus two Michigan vice presidents to be named later.” The Board of Trustees of the University of West Virginia is reportedly dubious because, like Notre Dame, it is concerned over whether it will be getting sufficient value. However, a spokesman for the Board did drawl, “weellll, mebbe if they throw in Rich Little and a ten year supply of the Amazing Vegematic . . . . . . . .”

Meanwhile, back in Ann Arbor a crowd announced at 110,001 gathered at the University of Michigan Stadium -- at the Big House -- to protest the 230 million dollar luxury box building that overlooks the field on which Michigan will no longer be playing football while it plays at playing football. For two hours the crowd chanted “President Coleman, tear down that building.”

During the entire two hours the jumbotrons at either end of the field played Michigan’s new fight song, which has replaced “Hail To The Victors.” The new song is the “Dead March” from “Saul."*




*This posting represents the personal views of Lawrence R. Velvel. If you wish to comment on the post, on the general topic of the post, you can, if you wish, email me at Velvel@VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com.

VelvelOnNationalAffairs is now available as a podcast. To subscribe please visit VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com, and click on the link on the top left corner of the page. The podcasts can also be found on iTunes or at www.lrvelvel.libsyn.com

In addition, one hour long television book shows, shown on Comcast, on which Dean Velvel, interviews an author, one hour long television panel shows, also shown on Comcast, on which other MSL personnel interview experts about important subjects, conferences on historical and other important subjects held at MSL, and an MSL journal of important issues called The Long Term View, can all be accessed on the internet, including by video and audio. For TV shows go to: www.mslaw.edu/about_tv.htm or www.youtube.com/user/mslawdotedu; for conferences go to: www.mslawevents.com; for The Long Term View go to: www.mslaw.edu/about¬_LTV.htm.

Monday, November 23, 2009

Let Us Now Seek Competent Men.

November 23, 2009

Re: Let Us Now Seek Competent Men.



This is being written because of something said to me last week by a writer whom I respect. The writer was interviewing me for an article, or a column, and said I should return to writing about things other than Madoff -- or at least in addition to Madoff. My time for writing has been taken up extensively, and exclusively, by Madoff for the last ten months or so, and the interviewer very generously said that, although the Madoff writing was valuable in its own way, still it is a loss that I am not writing on the political, economic and other events of the day. I don’t know that I think it’s such a loss, since I don’t feel I have much of a voice, but the interviewer was pretty adamant and, as said, I do have great respect for the person. So I shall at least try to say things about non Madoff matters now and again. Ergo this posting.

The interviewer might not be all that pleased, however, at what looks on the surface to be the subject of my initial returning effort: one of my very favorite subjects to write about, Michigan football. In writing and talking about this phenomenally important topic in the past, I have often said that my friends, my wife and I attended Michigan during the worst period in the history of Michigan football. Most of us came to Ann Arbor in 1955 or 1956, stayed there for law or medical school, and were done there in 1962 and 1963. (I personally was there from 1956-1963.)

Now that (according to the TV announcers) Michigan just lost its sixth straight game to Ohio State and its eighth of nine to Jim Tressel, has lost 13 of its last 15 Big Ten games, with 13 also being the total number of Big Ten games it lost in the seven years before Rich Rodriguez, has had two straight losing seasons, for the first time ever has lost seven or more games for two straight seasons, and has finished last in the Big Ten (in a tie with Indiana) for the first time since 1962, the news media have trumpeted that the only other times Michigan had two straight losing seasons were 1958-59, 1962-1963 and, if I remember correctly, 1881 and 1883. (Michigan didn’t play in 1882, it was said.) So two of the three times Michigan previously had two straight losing seasons occurred during my seven years in Ann Arbor. Bo Schembechler’s greatest accomplishment, I wrote a few years ago, was to rescue Michigan football from the nadir to which it had fallen, a rescue begun in his very first season of 1969 when Michigan defeated one of Woody Hayes’ greatest teams in a game that was one of the greatest upsets in college football history and perhaps was the greatest upset until Appalachian State defeated Michigan itself 38 years later in Ann Arbor in the first game of 2007.

When Michigan was undergoing the years of its nadir from 1957-1968, it was coached by two men whom my friends and I considered not competent and even dumb. (Forget their names. I’ve mentioned their names before, why blast them by name yet again for being incompetent and stupid, and, anyway, the cognoscenti know who they were.) The horrid irony in this was that Michigan, then as now, paraded itself as, propagandized itself as, and elitistly drummed into its students’ heads the idea that, it was and is a phenomenal academic institution. Here was an institution which lived for proclaiming its high degree of collective intelligence, accomplishment and competence, but was willing to countenance serious incompetence in its football coaching even though it had a stupendous prior football history. It was not as if Michigan, like the University of Chicago under Robert Maynard Hutchins around 1940 or so, said to hell with big time college football because it’s assertedly inconsistent with being a great university, or like the Ivy League deemphasized football because of its adverse effect on education. No, indeed. Here was an institution which proclaimed itself academically elite, continued to think college football very important, but countenanced mediocrity in coaching that one at least hopes it would not have countenanced academically.

It seems to me that that is exactly what is happening now. Michigan, while proclaiming itself academically elite more than ever (if such is possible), is simultaneously countenancing incompetence and stupidity in its football coaching while continuing to proclaim football to be very important. In this regard, I cannot do better at explanation than I did about a year ago in a post dated November 3, 2008, and so I have simply appended that post. The mistakes, stupidity and lack of attention to fundamentals that it complained of almost all continue to exist.

I suppose I could add a few things to last year’s post, like hiring as the defensive coach a guy who did truly miserably at his last job, as head coach of Syracuse -- so nobody can really be shocked that the defense mainly sucked most of the time this year, as last. And I could make an addition to a sentence in last year’s post that mentioned “the fumbles, the simple dropping of the ball as if it were the proverbial hot potato,” a sentence that continued by saying that things like this bespeak that the coach “does not pay much attention to basics, to fundamentals.” The addition I would make to that sentence would revolve around the fact that last Saturday, against Ohio State, the Michigan quarterback simply dropped the ball out of his own hand when he was trying to run out of his end zone, resulting in an Ohio recovery for a touchdown. Can you believe it? -- just dropped the ball out of his own hand when running out of the end zone!

What, then, will the University of Michigan do about the situation? The smart money probably bets that the answer is, “Nothing” (and in fact today’s New York Times reports that Bill Martin, the Athletic Director who hired the coach, Rich Rodriguez, said Rodriguez will return again as head coach next year, so I imagine we should expect another miserable and incompetent season in 2010). All the expectable excuses will be made. It will be said that Rodriguez has only had two years. He should receive at least a third year, or maybe even a third and fourth year, to put his “program” into place. (In America we no longer have college football “teams.” The word “teams” lacks sufficient gravitas. It is not “heavy” enough to denote the world shaking importance of college football. So instead of having college football “teams,” now we have college football “programs.”) He needs more time to bring in his kind of players, and more of them. He has a six year contract, so it would cost too much money to buy him out. Etc., etc. (Whatever happened to the concept of firing someone without liability, of terminating someone’s contract without liability, due to his incompetence and consequent failure to live up to (an at least implicit) term of his contract?) And the fools who hired the guy in the first place, and who did so in a process that was highly questionable to put it as nicely as possible (see last year’s appended post), are not going to want to admit that they went and hired a guy who is incompetent. (Notre Dame admits its mistakes. Michigan does not.)

* * * * *

Now, remember that I said I have written this post because the writer who interviewed me insisted adamantly that I should go back to writing on things other than Madoff. Yet writing about Michigan football would hardly be what the interviewer had in mind. As an importantly related matter, the interviewer appeared to be struck by my explanation that the reason I generally put 50 or 60 hours of work into reading, taking notes on and outlining each book whose author I interview on MSL’s TV program called Books of Our Time, is that I have a dread of appearing or being incompetent -- a dread which, ironically enough, seven years at Michigan did no little to foster. Putting in the hours of work helps eliminate the possibility of incompetence as an interviewer on the book show. But -- and here is where the interviewer’s desires and an article about Michigan football come together -- a dread of being or seeming incompetent does not have widespread purchase in this society. Politicians blow off about anything and everything with almost no knowledge of what they are talking about: Good sound bites, and fluent sounding (Obamaesque) speech, are the desiderata, not competent opinions. Corporations (and their lobbyists) put out obvious bovine defecation to justify obscene profits, even more obscene paychecks, interest rates that are through the roof, etc. Much the same is true in spades of journalists, especially columnists, whose prior views are rarely scrutinized to determine the competence of prior views which they proclaimed or to expose the mistakes they incompetently made one after the other. (Are you listening, New York Times? (There is no chance.)) Universities and colleges have a zillion excuses for why higher education has become so unaffordable (and why university presidents need to be paid a million dollars or more). People do not know and do not care what history teaches and that in effect we are repeating unfortunate history that has occurred time and again since 1898 (and in some ways since Alexander the Great) in middle eastern wars. Many people do not know, and even fewer care, that the people in charge of the economy are those, or among those, who brought us economic disaster in the first place.

One does not hear it said that a fundamental problem with G.W. Bush -- as he had proven time and again as an adult even before he became President, and as he repeatedly proved again as President -- was that he is not competent: we elected as President someone who was not competent, and nobody cared about this. One rarely hears that the question about Obama today -- a question about a guy who speaks brilliantly and (far too) often, is whether he will prove competent in action too or will prove to be the opposite. There is no conception that the country -- just like Michigan, with its elitist braggadocio combined with incompetence at football -- proclaims itself to be the greatest country in the world now or ever -- and woe betide anyone who might publicly question this propaganda -- while in fact it lurches incompetently from military disaster to economic disaster to military disaster to economic disaster.

One does not usually hear in this country, in any field, a refrain of “Has she shown herself to be competent?” Nor does one hear its twin in importance, of which I have often written: “Has she shown herself to be honest?” These are the two questions which count more than anything else most of the time. Yet, they are the questions least heard.

With regard to Michigan football, there is thus far but little to indicate coaching competence. With regard to the economy and war, there is thus far but little to indicate competence. Rather, there are mainly indications that military and political leaders look to and intend to repeat the incompetent policies and mistakes of the past. In education, we are conditioned to expect more of the past -- with even higher costs but, it seems, even lower quality. Ditto for many things, even most things. And frankly, as with Michigan football, so too with the economy, war, education, and so many other fields: we are going to have big trouble, continuous trouble, unless and until there is a cultural sea change under which the question of competence of views and actions, and the question of honesty, become the questions that are asked in every field.

Don’t hold your breath.





November 3, 2008

Re: Bring Back Bump Elliott.


Bring back Bump.

Only readers who followed Michigan football under Coach Bump Elliott from 1958 through 1968, which probably was the worst single stretch in Michigan football history, can understand in their guts the depth of disappointment, frustration and even anger in that sarcastic remark. The remark is directed at the fact that Michigan may have made the mistake of a lifetime, so to speak, when it hired Rich Rodriguez as coach to replace the underachieving Lloyd Carr. Carr was an underachiever, even though he won about 75 percent of his games, because he should have done even better in view of the fantastic talent Michigan had, and because he was unable to beat Ohio State after it traded John Cooper for Jim Tressel. Yet right now Carr looks pretty good compared to Rodriguez.

Both before and after Michigan’s loss to Purdue last Saturday, which was its fifth straight, I believe, the three pre and post game announcers on the Big Ten Network were discussing the situation in a way that sounded a bit unusual to me. For it seemed to indicate at least the possibility of an underlying subtext critical of Rodriguez or of what he might or might not do now. It reminded me a bit of, though I think it was less overtly critical than, remarks made about the Michigan coaches last year by Lou Holtz, I think after the loss to Appalachian State which was the beginning of the end for Carr (who had previously been subject to criticism). When the announcers, who are supposed to be paid cheerleaders, instead speak critically or indicate a subtext of criticism, you’ve got a real problem, it seems to me.

As the entire college-football-following world must know, this is a remarkably disastrous year for Michigan. It will be its first losing season in over 40 years -- since 1967. It will be the first time since 1962 that it lost seven games -- which it has done only four times in its history. Worse, it is almost certain to lose eight, which it has never done before, and it is about equally likely to lose nine or even ten, since it still has to play some good to very good teams, including Minnesota, Northwestern and Ohio State. And this year will end a 33 year string of bowl game appearances. All this, in college football terms, is a total meltdown. It reflects a level of incompetence like that of the Federal government under George W. Bush.

Although they never foresaw a disaster of this magnitude, there are lots of people (pretty much everyone who is au courant, I gather) who foresaw a bad year for Michigan. After all, it lost three All-American or near All-American level seniors who joined the NFL (Long, Hart and Henne). It lost several other outstanding seniors. It lost some great juniors (Mannington and Arrington) who opted to go to the NFL, and, the Big Ten Network announcers said, it lost a total of seventeen players who had remaining eligibility.

Above and beyond all this, and I think perhaps far more important because Michigan always has, and I gather still has many terrific football players, it was known that the new coach would be bringing with him and would install a totally different offense, the spread formation, for which Michigan’s current personnel, it was feared, might not be suitable or which they might find it hard to learn -- as indeed seems to have proven the case -- so that it would take a few years for Rodriguez to attain the success at Michigan that he had achieved at West Virginia.

These facts would seem to inherently mitigate Rodriguez’s responsibility for the current disaster. Yet there are other factors which point in the opposite direction, i.e., which point to culpability. For example, though it was expected that the offense might find it difficult to learn and run its new system, it was also expected that the defense could be alright, even pretty good. But it stinks. It’s just lousy. It is unable to stop other teams for the full course of a game, and correlatively and worse, it seems unable to tackle. When did coaches stop teaching players to wrap their arms around runners’ legs and instead try to tackle them by wrapping their arms around the runners’ torsos -- their upper torsos, no less -- so that the runners’ legs can keep churning and they may well break the tackler’s grip, as has been occurring all the time against Michigan? (Can you imagine trying to stop Jim Brown this way? Well, you can’t stop far lesser runners, either, this way.) Incompetently tackling torsos instead of legs seems to be par for the course for Michigan these days. (So, incidentally, it is not surprising that Michigan tacklers too often get stiff armed (in the face, sometimes) and get knocked off their tackles.) Tackling torsos instead of legs is simply a result of bad coaching, if you ask me, and reflects badly on Rodriguez and his staff.

Then there is the question of fumbling. Michigan fumbles all the time. Too often, as well, and wholly aside from dropping any passes, Michigan’s players seem simply to drop the ball out of their hands even though they are not being tackled at the time. (The Big Ten Network announcers claimed, if I heard them correctly, that Michigan had fumbled away the ball 24 times in eight of its games, or three times per game, which, I think, doesn’t even count the times players simply dropped the ball out of their own hands but then picked it up.)

These fumbles and drops are simply nuts. They reflect horrible coaching. Good coaches won’t put up with it. They would take steps to train people not to do it, and will bench people who continue to do it. Can you imagine what Schembechler would have done if someone kept fumbling? It wouldn’t surprise me if minor physical violence could have resulted.

Then there are questions about Michigan’s kick off game and its quarterback. As for kick offs, it seems unable to kick the ball into or anywhere near the end zone. Sometimes it squibs the ball, which doesn’t even get into the air - - this is amazing. With regard to the quarterback, who transferred from Georgia Tech, he seems adroit at only two things: throwing a bullet pass directly into the ground three to five yards in front of an open receiver, and throwing the ball far over the head of a receiver who is wide open downfield. They should send him back to Georgia Tech. Of course, Michigan has nobody better, although one may question whether any other quarterback it has would be worse.

Frankly speaking, the horrendous defense, the tackling of torsos rather than legs, the fumbles, the simple dropping of the ball as if it were the proverbial hot potato, and even the apparent failure to train the kicker, and to train the quarterback to throw accurately, bespeak a certain and horrible possibility: that unlike Schembechler, and even unlike Carr, Rodriguez does not pay much attention to basics, to fundamentals, but is instead concerned mainly with trying to teach people the apparently difficult to learn spread offense (which he himself pioneered). If this possibility is true, if Rodriguez does not pay sufficient attention to basics, it is going to take a long time for things to get better, if they ever do.

These matters raise certain questions, to which I would love to learn the answers. (Maybe some sports journalist might make inquiries. Ah, I guess not, since it would require competence to do so.) How is it that Michigan decided to hire Rodriguez? True, he had a very good record at West Virginia, although one might want to consider that West Virginia is in a league, the Big East, which is pretty weak in football, however great it may be in basketball. Teams like Cincinnati, Syracuse, South Florida, Connecticut and even Pittsburgh are not exactly synonymous with the phrase perennial football powerhouses, and Louisville and Rutgers have usually been relatively weak even if they had a couple of decent to good years recently.

One gathers that Michigan hired him in a semi desperate situation because Carr quit after the regular season and, it seems, it was turned down by the highly successful coach of big time LSU, Les Miles, who had played and coached at Michigan, had been considered Schembechler’s protégé, and for a long while, it had been thought, had been groomed for the Michigan job. No outsider I’ve read seems to know exactly what transpired between Michigan and Miles, but there have been rumors that Miles was angry because Carr had treated him badly and had in effect nixed him for awhile or at least had tried to do so and had succeeded for awhile. I don’t know about the truth or lack of truth of this rumor, although it is public knowledge that a serious dispute had arisen over a recruit sought by both Michigan and LSU. (The details of the dispute are not pertinent here.) If the rumor about Carr’s effort to nix Miles is true, and if this caused Miles to get angry and to say the hell with Michigan if and when it finally decided it wanted him, then we would have the very ironic situation in which the underachieving Carr nixed the high achieving Miles, resulting in a new coach, Rodriguez, whose first year may prove the worst in Michigan football history.

Then there is also the question of didn’t Michigan consider that bringing on Rodriguez, with his new offensive system to which Michigan’s current personnel apparently is poorly adapted, would inevitably result in one or more bad seasons, maybe quite bad seasons, even if nobody could foresee the magnitude of the disaster that has occurred. If Michigan did not consider this possibility, its athletic big shots are incompetent. If it did but decided to go ahead with Rodriguez anyway, perhaps on the ground that he will succeed greatly after two or three years, when he has recruited his type of player, or perhaps because it found itself in a desperate situation, then one can say that a judgment of ultimate success can at least be questioned, although it could prove right in the end, and that acting out of desperation, if such occurred, is almost always a sure and stupid route to disaster.

One might also question why, if what somebody recently told me is correct, Michigan, in the face of the current disaster, recently finalized a contract of no less than six years with Rodriguez. Did it need to do this as a matter of good faith because it had made some kind of promise of six years to get him to leave West Virginia, or because he had been forced to fork over a large sum of money to West Virginia to settle the dispute which arose? Whatever the reason, unless Michigan’s football fortunes change drastically and quickly, it is likely to find itself spending many millions to buy out his contract and cure its mistake in two or three years. This is only the more true because Michigan is in the midst of building huge, very costly, fancy-and-high-priced-suites as a large addition to the Big House in order to attract big money from the wealthy and corporations. They won’t flock to pay a fortune for suites to see a team that loses seven or eight games a year each and every year. They wouldn’t do it anyway, they especially won’t do it in the disastrous economy we are facing, it serves Michigan right if the suites fail because, as so many professors and alumni objected, the whole deal is another Reaganesque/Bushesque sellout to the rich, and, in any event, the need to sell out the new addition is going to put a lot of pressure on Michigan to get a coach who will win if Rodriguez doesn’t.

Then there is the question of why did Rodriguez himself leave West Virginia? He claimed, if I remember correctly, that it had welshed on some promises to build new facilities, and he said that, even though Michigan was losing lots of people to the NFL, you can’t overlook the fact that Michigan is Michigan, which, I take it, is a way of saying he thought Michigan will “reload.” But he had to know, and I gather did know, that the inception at Michigan would be rough because of the difficulty of installing his system. Maybe this wasn’t enough to deter him, and maybe he wanted to play on a bigger stage and believed he would succeed there. Or, as indicated by the bitterness of West Virginians who considered him an already decently or well paid but now self-aggrandizing sellout who left the people of his home state in the lurch, maybe his character isn’t what it should be. He professes to be surprised, by the way, at the depth of West Virginians’ anger at his leaving suddenly and unexpectedly after bringing football glory where it had not existed before. Is he stupid? Did he not understand what college football glory means in America, especially in states like Nebraska and West Virginia which do not have all the same outlets as, say, New York or California?

As well, maybe he didn’t consider that, although the Big Ten is no longer the top of the heap as it was by far in the 1950s when I was growing up, and has now been vastly surpassed for decades by the SEC and the Big 12, nonetheless succeeding in the Big 10 against the likes of Paterno, Tressel, and now a bunch of others too like Dantonio, Ferenz, Fitzgerald, Bielema and others might be a lot harder than achieving success in the weakstick Big East. (I once knew a coach who, though he later became a huge success in the pros, found out how hard it can be to be successful when one goes from an “inferior” college football league to a far better one with lots of smart coaches.)

Nor I must say, do the interviews he gives seem to show much intellectual firepower, since all he seems able to say is we have to go back to work, we have to keep on working and trying to improve, we have to hope the better results we are getting in practice will show up on Saturday too. This was about all he said after the loss to Purdue and his sadness and depression were so visible that one had to feel sorry for him.

It is true, of course, that despite the current disaster, all is not lost yet for the long run. Rodriguez was 3 and 8 in his first year at West Virginia (just as Joe Gibbs lost his first five games when he took over the Redskins with whom he later won three Superbowls, and Jimmie Johnson was, I think, 1 and 15 in his first year in Dallas before later winning some Superbowls). As well, Michigan seems to be playing an inordinate number of freshmen this year, and will likely do so again in 2009, when Rodriguez will have recruited his type of player and the 2008 freshmen are sophomores. If Rodriguez is a good coach, there ought to be major improvement in 2009, and even more in 2010. If he is a good coach, he should be challenging for the Big Ten Title in 2010, if not in 2009, and by 2011, in his fourth year, his team should not only be challenging for the Big Ten Title, but, as in the “old” days, should be in contention for the national championship. If his record is still lousy in 2010, and only the more so if it is still lousy in 2011, Michigan had better cast him out, and do so in plenty of time to come up with a good coach instead of having to conduct a hurried search as it had to do this time. It better cast him out lest its vaunted tradition go down the drain, as it did before under Bump Elliott after almost sixty years of football excellence under Yost, Crisler and others, and lest those expensive luxury suites it is building be relatively unpopulated and a big financial loss.



* This posting represents the personal views of Lawrence R. Velvel. If you wish to comment on the post, on the general topic of the post, you can, if you wish, email me at Velvel@VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com.

VelvelOnNationalAffairs is now available as a podcast. To subscribe please visit VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com, and click on the link on the top left corner of the page. The podcasts can also be found on iTunes or at www.lrvelvel.libsyn.com

In addition, one hour long television book shows, shown on Comcast, on which Dean Velvel, interviews an author, one hour long television panel shows, also shown on Comcast, on which other MSL personnel interview experts about important subjects, conferences on historical and other important subjects held at MSL, and an MSL journal of important issues called The Long Term View, can all be accessed on the internet, including by video and audio. For TV shows go to: www.mslaw.edu/about_tv.htm or www.youtube.com/user/mslawdotedu; for conferences go to: www.mslawevents.com; for The Long Term View go to: www.mslaw.edu/about¬_LTV.htm.

Friday, November 13, 2009

The Recent Change In The Name Of Our Country.

November 13, 2009

Re: The Recent Change In The Name Of Our Country.


My writing having been taken up entirely by l’affaire Madoff for almost a year, it is a pleasure to turn to a very short posting on another matter. Here it is: We now live in the United States of Goldman, Sachs.

That’s it. That’s the whole post. Explanation of its meaning is unnecessary for anyone who has read the newspapers for the last year (although reading the newspapers is an increasingly quaint idea, like Alberto Gonzalez’s view of the Geneva Conventions).

A Hebrew scholar, when challenged to recite the entire Talmud while standing on one foot, is said to have replied, “Do not do unto others what you would not have them do unto you. All the rest is explication.” So too here. We now live in the United States of Goldman, Sachs. All the rest is explication.

I shall not explicate. I shall, however, present some of the corollaries.

The song whose first line is “O beautiful for spacious skies,” has been renamed “Goldman, Sachs The Beautiful.” Some of the last lines have been changed to “Goldman, Sachs, Goldman, Sachs, God shed his grace on thee, And crown thy good, with brotherhood,” etc.

Another of our patriotic songs, this one written I think by Izzy Balin, er, Irving Berlin, now begins, “God bless Goldman, Sachs, Land that I love, Stand beside her, And guide her,” etc., etc.

The history books have been changed also. The name of the explorer who gave his first name to our nation and to two continents has been changed to Goldman, Sachs Vespucci. Accordingly, the two continents have been renamed North Goldman, Sachs and South Goldman, Sachs.

The English language has been changed too, due to a particular early bailout that saved Goldman, Sachs’ bacon (about 85 billion dollars worth of its bacon). To give assistance to a particular nation in order to pull it out of possible deep trouble is now to give it foreign AIG. To help a friend is to give him aig. To be a Senatorial assistant is to be a legislative aige. Meanwhile, the sickness formerly known as the ague is now the adue.

The names of our navy ships have been changed. We no longer have the USS Ronald Reagan or the USS Stennis, for example. We now have the USGSS Ronald Reagan and the USGSS Stennis.

People who live in and wish to escape despotic foreign countries no longer apply for visas to come to America. Now they apply for visas to come to Goldman, Sachs. And passports of American citizens now say, in large gold letters on the front, “The United States of Goldman, Sachs.”

Still under consideration is the question of whether the motto on our coins should be changed to “In Goldman, Sachs We Trust.” Some people think that would be going too far. They say that it is one thing to change the name of the country, but quite another to equate the country with God. Their position is undercut, however, by the fact that they are religious fundamentalists. Secularists find nothing wrong with changing the motto on our coins. And economists who are monetarists, or who think well of what the Federal Reserve has done, are vociferously in favor of the change. They also want the head of the Federal Reserve to change his name to Ben Bankee. This would make him Ben Bankee, Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of the United States of Goldman, Sachs.*


*This posting represents the personal views of Lawrence R. Velvel. If you wish to comment on the post, on the general topic of the post, you can, if you wish, email me at Velvel@VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com.

VelvelOnNationalAffairs is now available as a podcast. To subscribe please visit VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com, and click on the link on the top left corner of the page. The podcasts can also be found on iTunes or at www.lrvelvel.libsyn.com

In addition, one hour long television book shows, shown on Comcast, on which Dean Velvel, interviews an author, one hour long television panel shows, also shown on Comcast, on which other MSL personnel interview experts about important subjects, conferences on historical and other important subjects held at MSL, and an MSL journal of important issues called The Long Term View, can all be accessed on the internet, including by video and audio. For TV shows go to: www.mslaw.edu/about_tv.htm or www.youtube.com/user/mslawdotedu; for conferences go to: www.mslawevents.com; for The Long Term View go to: www.mslaw.edu/about¬_LTV.htm.

Friday, October 23, 2009

The Briefs Of The Trustee And SIPC On The Net Equity Question.

October 23, 2009

Re: The Briefs Of The Trustee And SIPC
On The Net Equity Question.



Having read the opening briefs filed by the Trustee and by SIPC on the net equity question, I thought to set down a few of what I believe are my most important impressions. Admittedly, whether I correctly understand all parts of the briefs seems to me a question. Like most Madoff victims, and perhaps even like a large number of the army of lawyers now involved in cases and in advisory roles, less than one year ago I had not even ever heard the words SIPC or SIPA to the best of my knowledge. Like other victims, I have spent the months since December 11, 2008 trying to play catch-up with regard to this very complex statute, and with regard to other matters too, such as tax matters. In regard to SIPA and SIPC, the victims, often not even lawyers, struggle to play catch up while confronted by a SIPC management and a Trustee who not only are lawyers but who have spent about 34 years or so making their livings from this complex statute, and in some cases have written about it. (The briefs sometimes quote their own writings.) So it can be difficult for us Johnny-come-latelies to be sure we have things right or, with regard to the recent briefs, to be completely confident we understand aright all that is being said or claimed.

With this disclaimer of certainty, then, let me nonetheless set forth here some of what seem to me the most important underlying points of the briefs of the Trustee and SIPC. As implied, I shall not attempt to be catholic with a small c in my descriptions or comments, but rather shall focus on what appears to me most important. With but few exceptions, I shall not, for example, either here or in a brief to be filed in about three weeks, discuss the cases relied on by the Trustee and SIPC or the Congressional reports or other legislative history. For that kind of legal analysis, and for most other legal analysis of the kind usually contained in responsive briefs, I shall rely on the hoped-for efforts of excellent lawyers who already have shown, in prior briefs, that they are very knowledgeable on the pertinent matters, lawyers such as Helen Chaitman, Brian Neville and Jon Landers. My efforts, both here and in a forthcoming brief, will usually be of a more philosophical or “overall” cast.

Let me start with a feature of the briefs of the Trustee and SIPC that strikes me as being somewhat of a psychological ploy as well a legal argument. (In the 1940s, a Supreme Court Justice said of a case in which the Supreme Court reversed itself in just a year or two -- I think the comment was made in the second of the so-called flag statute cases decided during World War II -- that the second opinion would be of more interest to students of psychology than to lawyers. That comment strikes me as applicable to parts of the briefs of SIPC and the Trustee.) The feature in mind is that the briefs contain lengthy, up-front, page after page descriptions of all the things Madoff & Co. did to create a phony universe in which nothing was real, not the supposed purchases and sales of securities or options, not the profits that were credited to victims, not what was stated on the statements received by victims, etc. One’s reaction to all this is, in a way, the sarcastic reaction of “Thank you very much. You are spending page after page telling us what all already know, including the bankruptcy judge. What a waste of time and print, and what a trial of the reader’s patience.”

But, as indicated, there seems to me to be an underlying legal and psychological ploy for this seeming waste of space. It is to cause the court to treat the whole case, everything, from the standpoint of “Everything here was false. Therefore the victims should not receive any treatment of a type that might accrue if anything had been real.” By means of this underlying ploy, the Trustee and SIPC hope to get the court to ignore, for example, innocent victims’ legitimate expectations that they had what their statements showed. (One of the briefs even takes the truly amazing position that victims’ only legitimate expectation was that they owned securities, and not that they owned the dollar amount of securities shown on those statements. Do you know any innocent person who thought, from the monthly statements, that he or she owned securities, but not the dollar amount of securities shown on the statements?)

To take another example of the effect of the previously described ploy, by means of the underlying argument that everything was false, the briefs of the Trustee and SIPC also hope to persuade the Court to ignore the part of the New Times litigation that dealt with unbought but real securities, and instead focus exclusively on the part of the litigation that dealt only with unbought and unreal -- i.e, nonexistent -- securities. Once again the general underlying idea is, “Focus on the fact that everything Madoff did was fake and let that control everything you do -- regardless, by the way, of Congress’ desire to help investors, and regardless also, incidentally, of the fact that everything in New Times was also faked, but people whose unbought securities existed in the real world -- as did Madoff’s -- were given credit for what they would have made had the securities been bought. (The briefs pretend this is irrelevant because in New Times the existing but unbought securities increased in value in the real world, wherein Madoff profits existed only on his 17th floor computer. They ignore, however, the salient point that Madoff’s statements reflected prices in the real world, just as in New Times, and that this meant investors could check out the prices shown by Madoff (as some did), just as in New Times. (I gather that there were a few instances in which Madoff’s prices, or his names of securities, slipped up, and a tiny number of Wall Street experts were aware of this, as well as of the fact that he always appeared to buy and sell remarkably advantageously (i.e., had great “fills” in Wall Street parlance -- which the SEC was told of but ignored). But as a general matter that was almost always true, the phony prices he showed reflected observable reality.))

The briefs of SIPC and the Trustee also use another apparent ploy: They extensively present the history behind SIPA even though much of it seems irrelevant to the case. But my guess is that what they are attempting to do is to plant in the court’s mind, in this way, the idea that SIPA is in reality a part of bankruptcy law for virtually all purposes, that it should therefore be treated as just another part of bankruptcy law whenever and wherever SIPC says it should be (which, I believe, does not include the limits on Trustee compensation imposed by bankruptcy law -- surprise, surprise), that the people who have what they call a negative net equity on a cash-in/cash-out basis should not receive SIPC protection because they assertedly would not receive bankruptcy protection, and that, for these reasons, victims should not receive money from SIPC and will not receive monies from the estate, from the so-called “customer property” collected by the Trustee -- who is suing people for somewhere around 15 billion dollars in “customer property.” (I note that, for reasons which need not be elaborated here, if anything like this amount were to be recovered by the Trustee, then SIPC and some investors would make out like bandits under the theories espoused in the briefs of SIPC and the Trustee, while a host of investors would be victimized by receiving back nothing from SIPC and nothing from the bankruptcy estate.)

To try to further explain this very complex stuff (and assuming I have it right though I do not find the briefs’ explanations all that easy to understand), let me put it this way: The briefs say that SIPA is only a part of bankruptcy law, and that the amount of money given by SIPC to victims -- up to $500,000 per account -- is simply an advance on and a species of “customer property” that will ultimately be distributed from the bankruptcy estate, property in which a victim has no right to share unless, as under bankruptcy law, the victim’s actual cash-in exceeds his actual cash-out, with the statement of November 30th being completely irrelevant. Therefore, a victim who has a negative net equity on a cash-in/cash-out basis gets no advance from SIPC, since to give him an advance would be to give him “customer property,” in which he has no right to share.

Given what I at least found to be the difficulty of understanding the briefs on these matters, I can’t be sure I have it right. But I think I do, and, if I do, the matter seems to me to boil down to the view that SIPA is merely a part of bankruptcy proceedings, and that the ordinary rules of bankruptcy proceedings, as the briefs present them, are applicable. This view is, of course, quite convenient for SIPC in this case. But it does seem, at least to me, to ignore Congress’ intent to protect investors and thereby build crucial confidence in markets. For it ignores the Congressional desire to protect investors up to $500,000 for what they legitimately believed they were owed by a broker like Madoff, a belief long accepted in law as being based on written statements received by investors.

The legitimate question, I would think, is not, as the briefs would have it, whether SIPC investors should be treated as if a SIPC proceeding is just another bankruptcy case in which the ordinary rules of bankruptcy as presented in the briefs are applicable (ordinary rules which the briefs say include cash-in/cash-out) and therefore lots of Madoff victims should get screwed out of up to $500,000 by SIPC, and should likewise get nothing from the “customer property” collected by the Trustee, despite Congress’ clear intent to help them. Rather, the legitimate question is whether due to Congress’ intent to help investors, the rules of SIPA, under which so many have over $500,000 in net equity as shown by their November 30th statements, should govern not just in SIPA matters, but in the bankruptcy aspect of the case, too, i.e., should govern in the ultimate distribution of the estate after all recoverable “customer property” is recovered. In other words, if one has a positive net equity of, say, one million dollars for SIPA purposes on the basis of the November 30th statements and thus were to receive $500,000 from SIPC, but would have a negative net equity on the basis of cash-in/cash-out, does one therefore necessarily also have the same positive net amount based on the November 30th statements for purposes of sharing in the bankruptcy estate (the “customer property”) because of Congress’ desire to protect investors? In seeking to avoid payments to victims (I put it this way advisedly), the briefs take the position that one’s net amount is the same for both SIPC purposes and for bankruptcy purposes and is based on cash-in/cash-out. The briefs say, in other words, that bankruptcy rules govern both bankruptcy and SIPA -- while others believe Congress’ desire to protect investors means the normally applicable SIPA rules must govern both bankruptcy and SIPA in the special case of broker bankruptcy which Congress specifically covered in its SIPA statute. Frankly, it might be desirable if bankruptcy rules on net equity governed the bankruptcy side of a case and SIPA rules governed the SIPA side, but, having read the statutory provisions cited in the briefs, I believe the Trustee and SIPC are correct in claiming that a single rule must govern both sides. That currently being the case, it seems to me that the only legitimate way to look at the matter at this time is that unless you want to overthrow Congress’ intent to help investors, overthrowing it by fiat of SIPC approved by courts, the only way to look at the matter is that normal SIPC rules must govern both the SIPA and bankruptcy sides of the matter. If there is to be a change, it must come from Congress, not from SIPC fiat approved by courts.

Another theme of the briefs is the long standing claim that, if the November 30th statements are used to determine net equity, then the result will be to harm the later investors -- whose claims are mainly for real money, it is asserted -- while helping earlier investors -- whose claims are mainly for phony profits, it is asserted. This argument has been dealt with here before, and in the main I shall not reiterate the previously identified shortcomings such as its embrace of merely abstract legal principles of what allegedly constitutes equity and fairness, while it simultaneously ignores, and indeed implicitly rejects consideration of, economic realities when determining equity and fairness. But while not reiterating previous arguments, I do want to note two crucial points that have now surfaced.

The first is that the briefs offer no factual support whatsoever for the assertion that the claims of long term investors are mainly for false profits (while the claims of later investors are said to be for real money that they put in, which seems true only if they are very late investors, as of 2006 or later, for example). It is my impression that the claims of many long-term and mid-length investors are, to a significant extent, for the principal they put in. It would not surprise me if forty to sixty percent of the claims -- or more -- may be for principal. To be sure, this may be, likely is, due to the fact that fake profits were taken out over the years -- though often for the purpose of paying income tax to what appears to be the single largest beneficiary of Madoff’s fraud, the Internal Revenue Service. But the briefs, as said, provide no facts whatever in support of the claim they made regarding long term and short term investors, a dearth of factual evidence which is consonant with the general practice of the Trustee, SIPC, and prosecutors in this case of disclosing, one thinks, as little as they can get away with.

The other point may be more important. It is being argued that later investors will be harmed by use of the November 30th statements because, by resulting in recoveries of up to $500,000 for persons who would receive nothing if cash-in/cash-out is used, the use of the November 30th statements will lessen the monies available to the later investors. In fact, however, a recovery of up to $500,000 under SIPC will not cause later investors to lose dime one. For that money, as is admitted, will come from SIPC itself, not from the so-called “customer property” (or bankruptcy estate). What SIPC and the Trustee are and long have been worried about here seems obviously not to be that less money will be available to later investors if the November 30th statements are used, but that SIPC would be broke if it had to use the November 30th statements as the measure of net equity for SIPA purposes of giving victims up to $500,000. SIPC doesn’t have the necessary amount of money. Its shortfall in money is in large part due to failure to assess the securities industry more than a deminimus pittance for many years rather than assessing brokers enough to build up a sufficient fund. To meet its obligations and avoid bankruptcy, SIPC would have to seek more money from Congress or tap lines of credit, etc. All of this it would consider undesirable, but, in any event, the point is not that late investors would lose money, but that SIPC would be out a ton of money.

There is, however, one scenario under which SIPC and the Trustee could be right in claiming that late investors could be harmed, in addition to SIPC being out a lot of money due to its payments of $500,000. If the net equity shown on the November 30th statements controls not only what one receives from SIPC, but also one’s share in the bankruptcy estate, then people who have a positive net equity shown on the November 30th statement but a negative net equity on the basis of cash-in/cash-out will share in the bankruptcy estate though they otherwise wouldn’t. Their sharing in the estate would mean that less would go to others from the estate. In this way late investors who did not take money out of Madoff could be “harmed.” Of course, such harm wouldn’t be dramatic unless the Trustee recovers many billions of dollars for the estate, whereas the harm to persons denied $500,000 from SIPC often is very dramatic: it has caused many people to be in the poorhouse.

There is another aspect of the briefs which appears to indicate -- completely unintentionally -- that SIPC and the Trustee have always been concerned about SIPC’s coffers, not investors. The briefs make clear that, if securities lost by a victim can be purchased in a fair and orderly market, a SIPC Trustee is supposed to return to an investor the securities she lost because of a broker’s bankruptcy. If this is done, there is no need for SIPC to pay people up to $500,000 to cover their losses up to that amount. A return of their securities might prove financially better for victims or financially worse for them than paying them up to $500,000, but, as said, it is what must be done if possible.

Here, returning their securities to customers would have meant purchasing in the open market the securities shown on customers’ November 30th statements. This, however, generally seems never to have been considered. From the beginning the talk always was about the $500,000, and those of us who started out knowing absolutely nothing about SIPC -- which I believe was almost everyone -- were none the wiser. (It does turn out, however, that some people knew this, or quickly found out, because apparently some people have submitted claims for securities instead of for cash.)

Beyond this, to the extent any of us tyros heard early on that SIPC was supposed to return securities if this could be done, we assumed it could not be done in view of the size of the Ponzi scheme, so that cash of up to $500,000 was the only feasible alternative.

But the briefs unintentionally bring much of this into question by pointing out that the Trustee is supposed to return securities to customers if he can. A librarian has obtained for me information on the number of shares of stock in the S&P 100 (which are the stocks Madoff used) that are traded each day. It is in the range of three to five billion shares per day. Individual companies in the S&P 100 trade in the range of many millions of shares per day -- a sampling of some of them shows average daily volumes that can range from 10 to 50 million shares per day. Given these facts, why couldn’t the Trustee have gone into the market to acquire, in a fair and orderly market, the number of shares needed to be given to customers? He need not have bought the securities in a disruptive way, you know. Like persons acquiring large blocs often do, he could have had traders acquire the shares for him a bit at a time, spacing out purchases over weeks or months in order to avoid disrupting or even moving markets.

Perhaps it is noteworthy in this regard that, having read every word of the SEC Inspector General’s 557 page report, in which he discusses the views of a small number of major-league Wall Street experts who suspected something might be wrong, I do not recollect a single word from any of them to the effect that Madoff could not successfully acquire and sell the S&P 100 securities that he claimed to be trading -- and that he claimed to be trading in one fell swoop, not in stages as traders in large blocs often buy and sell the shares in those blocs. The most that I recollect being said was that a few of the experts were surprised that Madoff’s huge claimed trades did not move the market, were not “visible” in the market. None of them thought it could not be done. Well, if experts apparently thought it could be done in huge, one-fell-swoop trades of S&P 100 shares without untoward effects, why couldn’t the Trustee acquire such securities in the market slowly, having his traders buy a bit at a time so that there would be no untoward market effects? Personally, I know of no reason why this couldn’t be done successfully, and victims would have been far better off had it been done, as the briefs say is required if it can be done in a fair and orderly way.

But, as said, it was never publicly considered by SIPC and the naifs with whom SIPC and the Trustee were dealing -- myself included -- had little or no idea about any of this. SIPC, The Trustee, and their counsel -- the experts -- took advantage of the widespread ignorance of those who had never dealt previously with this very complex statute that the experts had spent up to 34 years or so of their lives dealing with. And why did they take advantage in this way? Isn’t the answer obvious -- aren’t you saying it to yourself as you read this, even before I tell you my opinion? My opinion -- the obvious opinion -- is that they did it because SIPC did not have the money to do what they now admit the statute requires. SIPC did not have the money to go into the market and purchase the securities that it should have purchased and returned to investors. Nor did it want to assess the brokerage industry for the necessary monies, nor did it wish to seek the money from Congress (which was or became busy bailing out culprits in the banking industry to the tune of up to ten trillion dollars, not the “mere” scores of billions it might have taken to assist SIPC to do what it now has said was its duty under Congress’ statute).

SIPC, as I’ve said, took advantage of the fact that most of us victims were (and are) mere tyros -- or less -- when it comes to the complex statute that SIPC and its lawyers have worked with for decades. Of course, I am willing to be dissuaded from my views of the matter -- views triggered by the briefs of SIPC and the Trustee themselves on the net equity question -- but unless and until dissuaded I feel that most of us have simply been bamboozled by the experts with regard to these matters. One cannot help wondering whether victims should investigate the question whether the statute of limitations on making claims for securities can be avoided in the kind of situation which exists here, so that novices who were bamboozled by the official experts could put in claims for the securities to which the novices had a right. (Perhaps the last sentence should be underlined and italicized.)

All of this moreover, supplies yet another reason why there should be discovery from SIPC and the Trustee on why they did what they did -- discovery that the Trustee’s counsel has informed me will not willingly be given when asked for in the context of why SIPC and the Trustee used cash-in/cash-out. (The bankruptcy judge has scheduled what is called a pretrial conference for next Tuesday on the question of discovery pertaining to the reasons for using cash-in/cash-out.) Discovery on the question of why SIPC and the Trustee did not seek to buy securities is a broader, related question than discovery merely on the question of cash-in/cash-out, though one would bet there are numerous documents that relate to both questions because the questions are linked by the financial problems they would cause SIPC. In any event, if there are future Congressional hearings on SIPC and what it and the Trustee have been doing, the entire broader question of why SIPC and the Trustee did not seek to acquire securities, as well as the narrower question of why they chose cash-in/cash-out, should be plumbed. I am perfectly willing to be dissuaded if I am wrong, but to me, as of now, the answer to all such questions most probably is that SIPC did not have the money, did not want to assess brokers for the money, and did not want to ask Congress for it.

There are a few other items of major import, and a few of lesser import, that should at least be briefly noted here.

One of the ideas which has surfaced over the months in connection with net equity is that, if cash-in/cash-out is used to establish net equity, then investors are entitled to interest on their investment. (I gather the applicable New York state interest rate is a very significant one.) And, in his memorandum decision holding that there should be briefing on the net equity question, the Bankruptcy Judge said that “it is in the best interests of all customers for this Court to limit the Net Equity Issue to the determination of net equity (cash-in/cash-out vs. account statement balance as of November 30, 2008 vs. cash-in plus interest minus cash out . . . in accordance with a . . . scheduling order . . . to be submitted to this Court . . . .” (Emphasis added.) The Court thereby made clear that the question whether interest should be added to the cash-in is before it on the net equity question. Yet, in its next to last paragraph, the Trustee’s brief says “Certain claimants have suggested that the Trustee include an interest factor when calculating a customer’s ‘cash-in/cash-out’ figure to reflect the various entry points of investors in Madoff’s lengthy scheme. Whether and to what extent such a calculation is appropriate is not before the Court in this briefing, nor are other particular nuances of the ‘cash-in/cash-out’ method.”

Thus, it would seem that the Trustee has taken it upon himself to revoke the Court’s ruling that the question of whether interest should be added to the amount of cash-in if the cash-in/cash-out theory were to prevail is before the Court. It is amazing if the Trustee has in fact taken it upon himself to in fact countermand the Judge. What I suspect happened, however, is this (though I surely don’t know for certain that my suspicion is correct): In accordance with the Judge’s above-quoted instruction for submission to him of a briefing schedule, the Trustee submitted a schedule which the Judge signed. (It is the schedule under which we are all operating.) The scheduling order submitted by the Trustee said that

The briefing to be submitted to the Court pursuant to the Order shall be limited to discussing the proper interpretation of Net Equity, specifically the following two issues:

1. Whether a customer’s Net Equity under SIPA is equal to “cash in/cash out”; or

2. Whether a customer’s Net Equity under SIPA is equal to the value of the securities positions and credit balance reflected in the customer’s last statement.

This statement in the scheduling order regarding the forthcoming discussion of net equity, as you can see, did not include the issue of interest on cash-in, which the judge’s opinion had said is part of the briefing. Not realizing the omission, the Judge signed the order. Now, relying on the order it submitted to the Court and he signed, the Trustee is claiming that the question of interest on net equity is not part of the briefing on net equity though the Judge’s opinion said it was.

If all this is what happened in fact, it is fair to say that, even if it did so unintentionally, which for various reasons is at least possible, the Trustee’s office has pulled a fast one on the Court, and has attempted to convert -- or subvert -- the Judge’s opinion that interest is part of the briefing to a situation in which it is not part of the briefing. I know but do not feel it necessary to elaborate what will be the reaction to this action by the Trustee of victims who already are very angry at him for what they believe is high handed, unfair treatment.

Another item of some significance is that, in trying to persuade the Court not to use the November 30th statements as the measure of net equity, the briefs point out that while those statements are one guide to what people had, there are numerous other books and records that also are guides, that show the whole deal was a fake, and that make clear that all that victims really had was what they put in less what they took out. The problem with this argument is not that its claims regarding what other records show are untrue. Rather, the problem is that victims had no way whatever of knowing anything of what the other records showed. To use the other records because they show the truth, even though victims knew nothing but what their statements showed, is to destroy SIPC protection for victims of Ponzi schemes who took out money they honestly thought they had -- destruction which is, in fact, the end result of all the arguments being made by SIPC and the Trustee.

I know of no legislative history indicating Congress wished to work such destruction on such victims. To the contrary, the legislative history, presented by various lawyers in various prior briefs, and doubtlessly to be presented again by them, indicates that Congress wanted to protect all innocent victimized investors up to $500,000 in order to maintain confidence in markets. To punish innocent victims here who took out monies they honestly thought they had seems especially harsh and improper, moreover, when one considers that the SEC, which repeatedly had far more information than it needed to uncover the Ponzi scheme, nonetheless didn’t uncover it and instead gave victims comfort that their investments were safe, and when one likewise considers that some of the greatest and most sophisticated investors in the world, such as those working with James Simons, did not uncover the Ponzi scheme and left money with Madoff -- despite certain red flags that caused them concern -- because they felt the SEC had placed an imprimatur of legitimacy and non fraudulence on Madoff.

There are a couple of matters of perhaps lesser concern which I would also like to mention before closing. One is that there is some hint of concern in one of the briefs that, if cash-in/cash-out is not used, and the November 30th statements are used instead, then money could be owed to accused coconspirators who made hundreds of millions or, like Picower, billions of dollars from the fraud. But one cannot believe such hints are serious. There is no way that SIPC or the Trustee thinks SIPC or the estate would have to pay money to coconspirators -- if they are judicially found to be coconspirators -- regardless of what their net equity might be according to their November 30th statements. Still less is such payment a possibility if it is true, as the Trustee has charged, that they often told Madoff what numbers to use in their accounts.

A second minor point is that, in lengthily detailing the workings of the fraud -- which all now know anyway to a very considerable extent -- as a psychological gambit to persuade the Court to uphold their relatively early-on decision to use cash-in/cash-out, the briefs of SIPC and the Trustee rely heavily on facts that they probably could not have known when they made the decision. One obvious example is their extensive description of what was done by DiPascali, which they are very unlikely to have known in full -- or even more than very partially -- relatively early-on when they made the decision for cash-in/cash-out. Though they could not have known very much about what DiPascali did at that early time, they rely on what he did to justify what they did before they could know much of what he did. Of course, they would argue that later revelations of what he did simply reinforced the correctness of their earlier decision. Anyway, it is not particularly unusual for courts to rely on facts that merely could exist, even if they are not known to exist, at the time a decision is made (and to do so even if the relevant facts never become known). Laymen might find this odd, and I too find it odd, but it’s the way it often is.

* * * * *

As mentioned here in a prior posting, Jon Landers once said to me that people would be outraged, and justifiably so, if a bank went bankrupt and then the FDIC refused to pay depositors because the bank had been insolvent for years and thus all the interest the depositors honestly thought had been accumulated in their accounts, and all such interest they had withdrawn from the bank, were nothing but completely improper book entries. But that is identical to what has happened here. SIPC has refused to pay people who honestly believed they had earned money in their accounts and who withdrew earnings, and SIPC has based its refusal on the fact that the earnings were fake, just as the monies credited to and/or withdrawn from the bank were improper in the bank example suggested by Landers.

It is absolutely the case that if SIPC succeeds -- no matter what argument it succeeds on -- then SIPC protection will always be at risk, and investors will have no right or ability to rely on SIPC protection. For if, God forbid, it should turn out that one has invested in what ultimately proves to be a fraud, then one will be SOL and will get nothing from SIPC if one has over the course of years taken out more than one put in, doing so in the honest belief that the money had accumulated, existed, and belonged to the person taking it out. This has to be considered a disastrous situation for the individual, directly contrary to Congress’ intent to protect innocent investors and to promote confidence in markets, and has to be considered no better than if the FDIC refused to pay innocent depositors because it turns out that their banks were insolvent and were defrauding them all along.*


*This posting represents the personal views of Lawrence R. Velvel. If you wish to comment on the post, on the general topic of the post, you can, if you wish, email me at Velvel@VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com.

VelvelOnNationalAffairs is now available as a podcast. To subscribe please visit VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com, and click on the link on the top left corner of the page. The podcasts can also be found on iTunes or at www.lrvelvel.libsyn.com

In addition, one hour long television book shows, shown on Comcast, on which Dean Velvel, interviews an author, one hour long television panel shows, also shown on Comcast, on which other MSL personnel interview experts about important subjects, conferences on historical and other important subjects held at MSL, and an MSL journal of important issues called The Long Term View, can all be accessed on the internet, including by video and audio. For TV shows go to: www.mslaw.edu/about_tv.htm or www.youtube.com/user/mslawdotedu; for conferences go to: www.mslawevents.com; for The Long Term View go to: www.mslaw.edu/about¬_LTV.htm.

Friday, October 09, 2009

More On Net Equity. Plus Picower.

October 9, 2009

Re: More On Net Equity. Plus Picower.



In accordance with the briefing schedule set by the Bankruptcy Court, the Trustee’s brief on the question of net equity will be submitted shortly. A month later briefs opposing him will be filed. Briefs filed on net equity in the past by Picard’s opponents seem to me very good and, in toto, pretty complete. While one does not yet know what the Trustee will say, because his prior work generally has not focused on defending his definition of net equity (although he has discussed his position a bit on his website and in some briefs), one can expect that the opponents will reiterate the (very strong) points they have previously made and may add some new ones if they do come up with new ones. And they almost certainly will specifically retort to points the Trustee makes.

In reading what little the Trustee has said in the past to justify his cash-in/cash-out position on net equity, a couple of thoughts struck me that, as far as I can recollect, have thus far not been made by opponents. I shall set them forth here.

The Trustee has said from early-on that cash-in/cash-out is justified because persons who took out money from Madoff received money put in by other investors. True, but he neglects to mention that the money put in by persons who also took out money was likewise used to pay other investors. Some of those other investors were prior ones, but some might even have been subsequent ones because, up until the last year or so, Madoff appears to have had 17 to 20 billion dollars in his account at JP Morgan Chase. The meaning of all this is that, for example, if someone invested one million dollars in 2001, her money was used to pay off other investors, many or all of whom took out more than they put in, just as other people’s money was used to pay her when she later took out sums that could have been equal to or more than she put in.

What I am trying to say here is that Picard’s model is, in effect, simple minded because it neglects portions of the reality. His comments, you know, have the aura of blaming people who took out more than they put in, because, he says, they received other people’s money and therefore should get nothing. He does not mention that, correlatively, other people received their money -- and, if these others cashed out completely over six years ago, will never have to repay the money.

This brings me to the legitimate expectations of investors, denoted by the sums shown on their November 30th statements. Much has already been written about legitimate expectations in briefs and blogs, but let me add one point that has rarely if ever been explicitly mentioned, although often it has seemed implicit to me. The point in mind is this: even aside from the fact that Congress mandated it, why should the amounts shown as owing to her in statements received by an innocent investor be considered her legitimate expectation? The answer, though quintessentially simple, is overlooked by Picard and almost everyone else too. It is that the innocent investor, like anyone else, plans her life around the amounts of money that she justifiably believes she has, including the amount shown on her statement. Her purchases, her expenditures -- everything gets planned around the amount of money she thinks she has, including what is shown on her statements. That is why the amount shown in the statement must be considered the net equity of an innocent investor who never suspected fraud (this would not include the Picowers and Chaises) unless you are in the business of screwing people. The innocent person made her plans based on what she legitimately thought she had -- knowing of course that she is subject to market risk, as everyone is in investments, but never having any reason to suspect fraud -- a fraud which continued only because the government she relied on was so phenomenally negligent that its failure to catch Madoff was defacto intentional.

Just this week a lawyer explained to me a point which I shall use to further support my point. I don’t know that the lawyer has yet written the point in a brief -- the lawyer may or may not have. I am confident it will appear in future briefs, but don’t know if the lawyer wishes to be identified now, so I won’t identify the attorney and will say only that I thought the point most salient.

Suppose, said the attorney, you have put $100,000 into a bank, and over the years received statements saying that (because of interest) you now have $150,000 in your account. Then the bank declares bankruptcy, and the FDIC says it will only pay you $100,000 because the bank was insolvent the whole time and so the interest credited to your account was phantom interest, phantom profit. You would hear the screams from here to Washington, and you can pretty well rest assured that the FDIC would not be allowed to get away with this. Well, what the FDIC is attempting in this hypothetical example is what the Trustee is attempting here.

The situation would be even closer if the FDIC, in the example, were acting to save itself because it will run out of money, as may be -- and I think is -- what accounts for SIPC’s action here, as has been discussed in a prior post.

Let me make yet one other point regarding net equity. So far people -- including me -- seem to have been operating under the assumption that if you have a negative net equity for purposes of SIPC, which so many do under Picard’s cash-in/cash-out theory, then not only do you fail to get any money from SIPC, but you also have no right to any share of the estate, to any share of what I gather is called customer property by Picard and Harbeck. Put differently, what is net equity for SIPC purposes also controls for bankruptcy purposes: No net equity for SIPC purposes means no share in the bankruptcy estate. But reading some cases cited by Picard for his cash-in/cash-out theory makes me wonder whether this is necessarily true; makes me wonder whether what is net equity for SIPC purposes does control what one’s share of the bankruptcy estate is. The cases cited by Picard were not SIPC cases; they were bankruptcy cases. For bankruptcy law, cash-in/cash-out might make some sense, because legitimate expectations, which are a linchpin of net equity under SIPC pursuant to both Congressional intent and case law, conceivably seem not pertinent in bankruptcy. So I would think it at least conceivable that under the law someone might have a positive net equity under SIPC because her November 30th statement is the legitimate expectation and the measure of net equity, yet have little or no interest in the bankruptcy estate because she took out more from Madoff than she put in. It may be that all of us, Picard included, have wrongly been conflating two ideas that are not necessarily the same.

Perhaps it is also possible that Picard is conflating the two ideas deliberately because he knows, as one expert told me (I think I understand him correctly), that clawbacks in bankruptcy are limited to 90 days. By using cash-in/cash-out to arrive at a negative net equity, and by using that negative net equity as the measure of a person’s relationship to the estate, it is suggested (if I understand things rightly) that Picard is putting someone who received a nonfraudulent preference in the position of owing money to the estate. The money may not be collectible because of timing rules, I gather, but at least the investor won’t have to be paid money by the estate (if I understand right, which may be questionable).

Let me close with a brief point which is on a different subject than net equity, but which relates to the Trustee. For months I have wondered -- and have written of the wonderment -- why Madoff had given what apparently is more than seven billion dollars to a guy who put in only about $1.5 billion, Jeffry Picower. The only thing I could think of was that maybe Picower was fronting for the Mafia or for one or more secret services. But someone has now told me a different possible reason which has an immediate ring of truth, though one cannot yet know if it is true and can only hope that Picard, the FBI and the U.S. Attorney are all tracking it down.

Picower used to specialize in promoting tax shelters. Did his tax shelters, as many do, involve foreign countries or foreign institutions in some way? Did he, like so many involved with shelters, meet all kinds of persons who are in the business of sheltering funds here and abroad for wealthy taxpayers. For maybe, you see, Madoff was sending all this money to Picower to hide it overseas for him. That would make sense. If it happened, it may be hard to trace the money to its final destination. Or maybe not, since there are records of bank transfers. One can only hope that Picard, the FBI and the U.S. Attorney are all looking into this because the idea that Madoff was sending money to a former tax shelter expert to hide it for him overseas may be far and away the best conjecture on why Madoff would send over seven billion dollars to someone who put in only about $1.5 billion.*


*This posting represents the personal views of Lawrence R. Velvel. If you wish to comment on the post, on the general topic of the post, you can, if you wish, email me at Velvel@VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com.

VelvelOnNationalAffairs is now available as a podcast. To subscribe please visit VelvelOnNationalAffairs.com, and click on the link on the top left corner of the page. The podcasts can also be found on iTunes or at www.lrvelvel.libsyn.com

In addition, one hour long television book shows, shown on Comcast, on which Dean Velvel, interviews an author, one hour long television panel shows, also shown on Comcast, on which other MSL personnel interview experts about important subjects, conferences on historical and other important subjects held at MSL, and an MSL journal of important issues called The Long Term View, can all be accessed on the internet, including by video and audio. For TV shows go to: www.mslaw.edu/about_tv.htm or www.youtube.com/user/mslawdotedu; for conferences go to: www.mslawevents.com; for The Long Term View go to: www.mslaw.edu/about¬_LTV.htm.